Investing in Johnson City, TN — Market Analysis
Johnson City is one of the lower-basis entry points in Tennessee, with a median home price around $320,000. Johnson City is a college-town market. Student and faculty demand creates reliable occupancy, but leasing is seasonal — most of the year's placements happen in a narrow summer window, and per-bedroom leasing often produces more gross rent than a single whole-house lease.
Buying a rental property in Johnson City on a DSCR loan means putting a minimum of $64,000 down (20% of purchase price), leaving a loan amount of $256,000 at 80% LTV. At current DSCR investor pricing near 7.50%, principal and interest on that loan runs about $1,790 per month. Add Washington County property taxes of roughly $181/month and landlord insurance of about $128/month, and your all-in PITIA lands near $2,099/month. That PITIA figure — not the P&I — is what the lender divides your rent into.
A long-term lease in Johnson City should generate roughly $2,200/month in gross rent. Against a PITIA of $2,099, that produces an estimated DSCR ratio of 1.05x. That clears the standard 1.0 minimum, which is the threshold most DSCR shelves require for their base pricing. There's not much cushion, so a tax reassessment or an insurance increase could push the file into a lower tier — worth stress-testing before you write the offer.
If you intend to operate the property as a short-term rental, estimated gross nightly revenue in Johnson City is around $3,300/month across a full year. Lenders do not credit gross STR revenue dollar-for-dollar — they typically haircut it 25%–30% for vacancy, cleaning, platform fees, and management. Applying a 28% haircut gives an effective $2,376/month, or a DSCR ratio of 1.13x. On a short-term rental basis the deal clears the threshold, though lenders will want twelve months of documented revenue or an AirDNA/market study to credit it.
Two Tennessee-specific items to build into your model: Tennessee has no state income tax on wages and is strongly landlord-friendly. The Smokies corridor (Sevier County) is one of the highest-revenue short-term rental markets in the United States. In Johnson City specifically, effective property tax on investment property runs around 0.68% of value annually — about $2,176 a year at the median price — and landlord insurance near $1,536 a year.
On return metrics, Johnson City pencils to an estimated cap rate of 5.12% using a 62% NOI margin, and a gross rent multiplier of 12.1. Monthly cash flow on a long-term lease at 20% down is estimated at $101 positive. A cash-flowing file at 20% down is the exception in most markets right now, and it gives you room to absorb a rate that doesn't come down.

